Cloud providers' race to the top more important than race to the bottom. 451 Research
451 Research recently announced its latest Cloud Price Index (CPI) report, which analyzes the global availability of cloud services, unearths regional gaps in service delivery and identifies saturated markets. The study finds that the cloud services sector is a long way from being a commodity market with price barely impacting market share as customers look for value-added services. In short, price doesn't matter.
The CPI research demonstrates that cloud providers' so-called 'race to the bottom' in cloud pricing is a red herring. Instead, it is a race to the top, with the supply of higher-value services that is key to long-term, sustainable and profitable growth. 451 Research finds that virtual machine pricing has dropped 12% on average over the past 18 months, while the price of storage, NoSQL, load balancing, bandwidth and other cloud services have remained stable and continue to provide margins.
Analysts believe that as the price for cloud compute continues to fall toward zero, the hyperscale vendors will add higher-value cloud services as quickly as they can--aka 'moving up the stack'--recognizing that the margins currently enjoyed on bulk sales of compute resources are not sustainable.
Data in the CPI report show that the lowest-cost service providers have not won greater market share as a result of their pricing strategy. Instead, customers value additional services, local hosting and support and partnering with a familiar brand.
The report examines how cloud customers' sensitivity to price varies by region. 45 I Research correlated global pricing for the CPI small basket of goods against market share data from 451 Research's Market Monitor & Forecast. The resulting Cloud Commodity Score (CCS) measures this price sensitivity: the higher the CCS, the bigger the impact price has on market share.
The US is the region where a cheaper price is most likely to drive market share, yet even here, the CCS is only 18%. By virtue of its size and economies of scale, the US is the cheapest market for cloud. 451 Research analysts believe this low CCS score demonstrates that there are still opportunities in the US, although service providers need to find their 'X Factor' and should question whether they need their own infrastructure or should partner with a cheaper competitor.