ACCORDING TO THE IMF, growth in Cameroon should rebound to 4.2% in 2018, thanks to new natural gas production, stronger output by the manufacturing and food industries boosted by improved power supplies, and increased activity in the construction sector due to its hosting of the 2019 African Cup of Nations football championship. So the country can look forward to an upturn.
This observation is confirmed by the latest country risk assessment from the global credit insurer Coface: "Following two years of slowdown in growth, mainly due to declining oil and gas production, the economy is expected to pick up pace in 2018." Noting the government's work to consolidate the budget, Coface is counting on infrastructure, energy and the food business to stimulate Cameroon's growth in 2018.
"A public investment programme will boost growth, especially in the construction and services sectors," says the report. "The projects aimed at developing the country's hydroelectric potential will be drivers of this growth ... Manufacturing industries (textiles and cement production) are expected to perform well. Projects aimed at developing the agri-foods sector should also help boost agricultural production (wood, cocoa, cotton)."
At a time when many other members of the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) have been slipping further into economic crisis, Cameroon's economy has shown resilience. It is the most diversified economy in the region and, in consequence, the one least affected by the drop in commodity prices. Cameroon accounts for 40% of CEMAC GDP, making it the largest economy in the bloc. According to a report by the African Development Bank (AfDB) published in March 2018, a recovery in regional growth is expected...